On withdrawal…..

Al-Quds Al-Arabi is an extremely anti-US foreign policy newspaper and has been 100% against the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan.  Therefore,  one might expect that they would be happy the US has announced a firm withdrawal date.   Not_quite:

هذا القرار سيضع عبئا ثقيلا على كاهل الحكومة العراقية، لانها ستكون مسؤولة عن حفظ الامن في مختلف انحاء العراق، والعاصمة بغداد على وجه الخصوص، ويظل السؤال المطروح هو حول قدرتها على تحمل هذه المسؤولية، ومن ثم امتلاكها للقوات اللازمة لترجمتها عمليا على الارض.
من الصعب اعطاء اجابات قاطعة في هذا الصدد، فالفترة الزمنية المحددة لانهاء القوات الامريكية لعملياتها العسكرية قصيرة، وغير كافية لتدريب قوات الامن والحرس الوطني العراقي لتأهيلها للاحلال محل القوات المنسحبة.
التجارب على الارض تؤكد عجز القوات العراقية وحدها عن فرض الامن والاستقرار، وما حققته من نجاحات محدودة، خاصة في الجنوب، وبعض مناطق العاصمة بغداد، يعود بالدرجة الاولى الى الاشراف الامريكي المباشر على تنفيذ الخطط الامنية المتبعة، والمشاركة فيها في معظم الاحيان…….

الرئيس اوباما وضع الحكومة العراقية امام تحد كبير بقراره هذا، قد لا تكون مؤهلة لمواجهته. فاكثر ما يهم الرئيس الامريكي الجديد هو الخروج من المستنقع العراقي بأقل قدر ممكن من الخسائر، خاصة ان الحربين اللتين ورثهما في العراق وافغانستان تكلفان خزينة الدولة حوالي 140 مليار دولار سنوياً، الى جانب استمرار سقوط قتلى في صفوف الجيش الامريكي، مما جعل الرقم يقترب من 5000 قتيل واكثر من ثلاثين الف جريح

Basically, Al-Quds is saying that the Iraqis are not capable of providing security at this point but will be called to do just that as soon as the US withdraws, putting them in a very tough spot, especially since they haven’t shown the ability to guarantee security independently of the US army. 

I don’t follow Iraq like some others do so don’t read this post as my individual position.   I’m just pointing out a trend that were going to start seeing in Arabic media as the deadline for withdrawal approaches.  I can already see where Al-Quds is going with this:  they feel the US broke Iraq and has an obligation to “unbreak” it even if that entails more human and financial losses.  Make no mistake about it:  if Iraq falls apart in 2012 because the US is seen as abandoning Iraq, Al-Quds, like everyone else in Arabic media, will be furious.

2 Responses

  1. […] II: I never quite realised it, but it seems I’m with the Arabs on this. Hat tip: Rob, for helping out an illiterate.] Possibly related posts: (automatically generated)Iraq: Anbar Again?Review of Responsible Plan To […]

  2. I think the Americans and their British sidekicks came out winning on this one. They destroyed a country which was able to take care of itself creating from scratch a state which will be “eternally” dependent on some sort of “American” presence.

    Iraq, as a nation, thanks to this constitution based on sectarianism will always be an entity on the verge of falling apart. So they will need the very same master who enslaved them to keep them from completely drowning.

    With Saddam’s Iraq, there was a balance in the region. American intervention tipped this balance and now it seems that with the administration that was supposed to represent change, it will be business as usual. The Sunni Iraqis, understandably, prefer the Americans over the Iraqi Shiites and vice versa. So the Americans will stay in the region. That’s what is important.

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